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Purdue Reaction

Monday, November 03, 2008 by Tim

So, with a little more time to let this game stew, it's time to make a few more observations.

First, what was up with the defense? It hasn't been good this year by any means, but it has never been quite that bad. Plus, the base scheme switched from the 4-3 (or the 3-4 nickel) to a pretty standard 3-3-5 stack. I'm not sure if RR decided to go with something he was used to, since Shafer's schemes haven't been lighting the world on fire. The 3-3-5 has developed something of a reputation for being good against the run, but bad against the pass. On Saturday, it was subpar against each. I'm not one to rag on Shafer, as most of the defensive woes are from players being in position, but missing tackles (re-watch the game if you want to torture yourself in that department) or being otherwise John Thompson-y, but the perforfmance the other day still has me scratching my head.

Steven Threet is obviously a lot more hurt than either he or the coaching staff wants to admit. Ever since the elbow bruise, he has been alternatingly mediocre and bad. On Saturday, he was 9-21 for 123 yards. What's more disturbing than that? He is still infinitely better than Nick Sheridan. Sheridan's numbers would have likely been similar, except trading the two touchdowns for interceptions.

Martavious Odoms, Darryl Stonum, and Boubacar Cissoko had something of a coming out party, though Odoms had flashes of brilliance earlier in the year. Stonum's touchdown catch-and-run was nothing short of awesome, and both Odoms and Cissoko looked more than competent returning kicks and punts.

Justin Feagin played on special teams. What is the point of holding a guy out most of the year, then switching his position and burning his redshirt? It doesn't make much sense, though I wouldn't be surprised if it had something to do with trick play ability in the last few games.

With Brandon Minor proving himself to be something of a competent back when he doesn't fumble, I wonder if Sam McGuffie will see a little more time in the slot. Michigan currently has an absolute dearth of bodies at the position, and he could be useful there. I don't think it would be a permanent change, just something to fill a gap.

I wonder how different his year could have been if we'd gotten one of the games early in the year against Utah or Notre Dame. I don't think the team is as bad as they've played of late, but there confidence has shattered, and the coaches may be trying to do too much stuff, and changing things around as they scramble for wins. At this point, I don't think Purdue is really a better team (particularly with their third-string quarterback), but Michigan is just stuck in a downward spiral that probably won't end until next year.

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Being bad isn't fun

Saturday, November 01, 2008 by Tim

Two days after I try to stand up for the defense, they get lit up like a Christmas tree. Michigan's opponent is practically guaranteed to win the Pontiac game-changing performance. A bowl game is officially out of reach.

It stinks.

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Preview: Purdue Boilermakers

Friday, October 31, 2008 by Tim

When I previewed Purdue in the summer, I didn't think they'd be a very good team this year. However, the depths of their fall have been a surprise even to me. With a new coach stepping up next year, are we witnessing the end of the "Purdue-as-midtier-team" era? It certainly seems like it. This game looks like Michigan's best chance to get another win by the end of the year, and injuries may play a key role in this weekend's matchup.

Offense
Purdue's offense under Joe Tiller has been characterized as "basketball on grass." The pass-happy spread attack made Tiller's career, and he has seen success in West Lafayette, though not so much in recent years. This year, the Purdue offense hasn't been very good. Throw in the fact that starting quarterback Curtis Painter is not expected to be available and it's bad new Boilers. By the way, the backup quarterback, Joey Elliott is out too. That leaves OLSM product Justin Siller, who moved back to QB from running back just a couple of weeks ago, to run the offense. Don't be surprised if there's tons of Kory Sheets in the gameplan Saturday.

Defense
The Boilermakers' defense hasn't been performing well, but they have faced a couple of pretty good offenses in Oregon (whom they held to only 32 points in two overtimes) and Central Michigan (whose production has fallen off slightly this year). Notre Dame managed to put up 38 on Purdue without the help of ridiculous field position, though the Irish did get a defensive touchdown. Regardless, the Wolverines are probably the most inept offense Purdue will face. The Boilers' talent level is low, however, Michigan should be able to put something together, particularly using the MINOR SMASH offense.

Predictions
Purdue's offense is held under 250 yards.
Steven Threet doesn't throw an interception.
Michigan wins 23-10.

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MSU Postmortem, Purdue Week

Tuesday, October 28, 2008 by Tim

Going into the Michigan State game, I was not confident Michigan would win, but certainly that they could win. As it turns out, the defense laid a complete egg, and it's back to the drawing board again. A few random observations from the weekend that was:
  • The stadium atmosphere, though it was better than some games, left a whole lot to be desired. Most disturbingly, a rival's fans got a stadium-wide cheer going in the waning moments of a victory in our stadium.
  • The offense still can't put together four full quarters, but with the defense Michigan has, there really isn't much of an excuse to lose a game in which we score 21 points.
  • The recruiting weekend didn't go exactly as planned, but it sounds as though most of the recruits in attendance really liked Michigan - with the notable exception of DeWayne Peace. Is a decommitment looming?
  • Maybe I've just never considered them because I'm friends with a bunch of MSU fans, and those that I typically run across are cordial enough, but MSU fans are really a special brand of pathetic.
And looking forward to Purdue:
  • The Boilermakers are probably the coldest team in the conference at this point, with Wisconsin and Indiana finally cracking through this past weekend. The next closest "competitor?" Probably Michigan. Sadly, this weekend's game is likely a battle to avoid finishing at the bottom of the conference, along with Indiana.
  • QB Curtis Painter is expected to miss the game this weekend. Top backup Joey Elliott is out for the remainder of the season. That means OLSM product Justin Siller will likely start for the Boilers.
  • If you ask me, Purdue is the closest thing offensively Michigan will play to Toledo (except maybe Minnesota). This might bode ill for the Michigan defense, since it's a personnel upgrade at nearly every position (except maybe replacing a 5th-year senior QB for a redshirt freshman).
  • I don't forsee having a podcast this week.
  • Michigan really needs this game. If they can get a bit of momentum going, they could probably pull off a game or two against Minnesota and Northwestern, as well.

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