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Recruiting: A Historical Perspective

RJ asks:
How does the class look so far compared to most years at this point?
and fellow commenter Max answered:
RJ, at roughly this point in recent years (Stars are per Scout):

'03 - No commits (First was 4-star Jake Long on July 10, 2004)

'04 - 4-star (WR) Morgan Trent committed in February 2003. After that, the first big push was in mid-June, when the Wolverines got verbals from 4-stars Max Martin, Will Johnson, and Roger Allison; 3-stars Chris Rogers, Charles Stewart, and Mike Hart.

'05 - September 2003 commit from 5-star Kevin Grady. As of May 11, 2004, commits included Grady; 4-stars Justin Schifano, Mario Manningham, and Laterryal Savoy.

'06 - As of May 13, 2007, commits included 5-stars Brandon Graham and Justin Boren.

'07 - As of May 5, 2006, commits included 5-star Ryan Mallet; 4-stars Vince Helmuth, Ryan Van Bergen, Martell Webb; 3-star Artis Chambers.

'08 - As of May 17, 2007, commits included 5-star Boubacar Cissoko; 4-stars Dann O'Neill, Elliot Mealer, and Kurt Wermers.
Strictly speaking, at this point (May 2nd), Michigan had only Trent in his year, all but Savoy in '05, just Graham in '06, all but Webb and Chambers in '07, and all but Wermers this past year. For comparison, Michigan currently has the following players committed:
  • 5-star William Campbell
  • 5-star Kevin Newsome
  • 4-star Justin Turner
  • 4-star Teric Jones
  • 4-star Shavodrick Beaver
  • 3-star Fitzgerald Toussaint
  • unranked Isaiah Bell
However, it's not the strict numbers game that had people worried (until recently), but the class compared to others, including rivals. Michigan State had a very early start to the recruiting class this year, and Michigan's looked poor in comparison (though very good overall). Michigan State has never had more than one commit at this time in the past 6 recruiting classes.

This year (and perhaps it's a long-term trend) many prospects (including top guys - 20 of Scout's 50 5-stars) are committing early. This hurts teams in transition years - such as Michigan - because they have catching up to do in various other areas before they can worry about recruiting '09 kids. However, with the recent batch of commitments, Michigan is back at pace for the 2009 recruiting class.

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“Recruiting: A Historical Perspective”

  1. Blogger RJHOVE Says:

    oh this year everyone is getting them early..we have to fill our needs and beat the buckeyes this year